Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.468882 0.540921 0.619361 0.710982 0.814930 0.929063 1.063733
2025-08-24 0.341618 0.438548 0.554563 0.703040 0.887345 1.107882 1.390989
2025-08-31 0.263468 0.366516 0.498869 0.680034 0.920078 1.225552 1.641787
2025-09-07 0.231602 0.343712 0.496058 0.715989 1.022678 1.432050 2.016022
2025-09-14 0.191300 0.301283 0.458640 0.697023 1.045053 1.529782 2.249850
2025-09-21 0.160252 0.266525 0.425894 0.678095 1.061794 1.616849 2.471530
2025-09-28 0.136494 0.238823 0.399102 0.663124 1.080205 1.704643 2.697786
2025-10-05 0.123616 0.226357 0.393654 0.679218 1.145533 1.865012 3.042051
2025-10-12 0.115996 0.221412 0.399232 0.712678 1.239999 2.075794 3.477878
2025-10-19 0.106546 0.211825 0.395645 0.729946 1.308771 2.250237 3.867999
2025-10-26 0.096742 0.200159 0.386901 0.736966 1.360154 2.399278 4.226385
2025-11-02 0.086999 0.187203 0.374202 0.735259 1.395562 2.523304 4.550573
2025-11-09 0.077155 0.172922 0.357831 0.725870 1.417757 2.628680 4.854902
2025-11-16 0.068592 0.160062 0.342710 0.717256 1.440596 2.737014 5.172823
2025-11-23 0.059585 0.144900 0.321189 0.693785 1.433153 2.790281 5.396205
2025-11-30 0.057550 0.144681 0.329733 0.730403 1.542823 3.062469 6.030965
2025-12-07 0.050642 0.132399 0.311721 0.711085 1.541439 3.128993 6.292231
2025-12-14 0.044605 0.121220 0.294678 0.691806 1.537978 3.190538 6.547131
2025-12-21 0.039606 0.111779 0.280295 0.676556 1.541021 3.264088 6.828718
2025-12-28 0.037339 0.108869 0.280363 0.692950 1.611287 3.473688 7.386888
2026-01-04 0.036373 0.109202 0.288002 0.727031 1.721828 3.770491 8.134605
2026-01-11 0.034438 0.106660 0.288476 0.744619 1.797785 4.001823 8.764865
2026-01-18 0.032072 0.102570 0.284686 0.751768 1.851061 4.189605 9.317582